Which Labour MPs will vote Conservative?

Attention has moved from the 40-80 Conservative MPs that Steve Baker claims can kill the government, to the 30-40 Labour MPs that Downing Street hope can let its deal survive. The Times and the FT both run stories today on these so-called Labour rebels.

The headline is misleading. The quotes from Labour MPs show just how uncertain they are over how they will vote. They fear deselection. They hope Corbyn will change. They will vote down the government only to vote with them later. Listen below for our 3 minute wrap with more details:

 

To determine how Labour MPs will shake down, we refer you back to our Labour MP breakdown:

And our table of support for each Brexit outcome:

If you would like more detail on how we calculated these figures, or to run other configurations, please let us know.

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