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Austria Election preview

The State of Play In May, Sebastian Kurz lost a vote of no-confidence, making him the shortest serving Chancellor in Austrian post-war history. After demanding the resignation of his cabinet coalition partners in the aftermath of electoral malpractice allegations by the far-right FPO (the so-called “Ibiza-gate” affair), Kurz’s government collapsed. Brigitte Bierlein has been in…

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Squaring Circles – Part 2

++ The quest to find loopholes abounds. Boris has many weapons in his arsenal to ensure he delivers Brexit. Trying to figure out which one is merely a distraction ++ By far the toughest circle for financial markets to square is that the Prime Minister looks like he will refuse to obey a law to…

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Are You Not Entertained?

The confected outrage is ratcheting up. Boris’ Brexit Love Island is morphing into the Hunger Games. Nothing is sacred in the pursuit of success. And on and on it will go. Everyone must pick a side. In our meetings we find a refusal to believe we are headed for the Revoke vs No Deal denouement….

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Supreme Court Ruling on Prorogation – Nothing Has Changed

++ The ruling ramps up the outrage, driving us harder and faster towards the Revoke v No Deal denouement ++ The Supreme Court ruling quashes the Prorogation because ‘the prime minister’s advice to Her Majesty was unlawful, void and of no effect’ Parliament will therefore be back tomorrow because it is as if the prorogation never happened The…

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The Week That Will Be (22 September 2019)

This week we will find out: Will the UK leave the EU on 31st October with No Deal? – Yes. Even if the government lose the Supreme Court case and Parliament is recalled (ruling due Mon/Tues) How much dissent over recent rate cuts? – Fed and ECB Speakers all week We already know: Boris will deliver Brexit…

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