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No election, yet. What next?

The race is on. Can Boris get an election before the Benn Bill requiring him to ask for a Brexit extension on 19th October becomes law? With 25 working days required for a General Election campaign, a day to count votes and a day required to install new MPs, October 15th would need to be election…

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The Boris Plan

To understand what is going on in British politics right now, you need to understand Love Island. Or indeed any reality television show of your choice. There is a cast of characters, from the rogue, to the joker, to the lonely, to the sad, to the mad. Except they’re not characters, they’re real people. Put…

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Government defeated, roll on the election

A bigger defeat than we anticipated Aside from more abstentions, fewer Labour MPs were prepared to back the Government than our data suggested Conservative rebel numbers in line with expectations The Conservative Party can now go into the next election purged of the No Deal non-believers The Labour Party will be forced to go into an…

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Government to lose the battle but win the war

Boris’ speech on the steps of No 10 last night was aimed at the public. He will deliver Brexit by 31st October and then deliver his Reaganite domestic agenda To win big, he must provoke anger and re-run the referendum’s totemic The People vs The Elites campaign Timeline is therefore: Government to lose Extension vote…

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Parliament this week

Lots of noise to come but these theatrics don’t matter. No Deal is coming. Parliament returns from its recess Tuesday 3rd Sept Prorogation is expected to kick in on Monday 9th Sept Parliament then only returns on Monday 14th October With several days then assigned to debate on the Queen’s Speech, that would leave ~7 sitting…

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