The Day Today

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The Day Today 14 August 2014

European contraction…but we know what the ECB will do in response… * Germany 10yr falls below 1% for the first time ever, as Q2 GDP came in worse than expected, -0.2% vs -0.1%exp and +0.7prior * France Scraps 2014 Deficit Goal After Economy Unexpectedly Fails to Grow {fifw NSN NAA90Y6JIJV1 <go>} * Investors give up…

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The Day Today 13 August 2014

* China credit data plummets (see chart) but Asian stocks largely shrug it off. The PBOC unusually released a statement to say ‘The drop in July’s financial data was caused by a high base effect and seasonal fluctuation’ and aggregate financing growth is still in a “reasonable range” {fifw NSN NA86ZV6K50YX <go>} http://tinyurl.com/mg95nhe * Japan Q2…

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The Day Today 12 August 2014

* PIMCO cut its US Tsy holdings in July, now at 45% vs 50% in May {fifw NSN NA699T6KLVR5 <go>} * UK inflation to remain benign? Sales growth in June slows to its weakest in more than 3 yrs, due to price cuts by supermarkets, BRC Retail Sales show {fifw NSN NA5D5U6S972D <GO>} * Mortgage…

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The Day Today 11 August 2014

* Ceasefire in Gaza http://cnb.cx/1q3SiP9 and proposed in Ukraine http://bit.ly/1r4H6IE * Japan’s GPIF has decided to remove its 18% upper limit on domestic shareholdings, the Nikkei newspaper reports {fifw NSN NA2KVW6KLVR4 <go>} * Stanley Fischer makes his second speech since joining the Fed, this time he talks about the meat of his economic views: “There…

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The Day Today 8 August 2014

No surprise that Oil higher, stocks lower, and bonds, yen, swiss francs all up on the Iraq news. This “risk-off” wobble has been floating around ever since inflows into the overly exuberant junk bond market started to ebb a few weeks ago. From here, it’s a question of when the longer-term buy-on-dips crew emerge. Given…

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