The Votes

We have gone through the voting record, speeches and website of each and every MP. If the votes proceed as scheduled, we believe there is a 50% chance of stalemate by Thursday evening. No Deal remains our default case because:

  1. There is still no majority in favour of anything else
  2. The PM risks her Party if she offers an extension
  3. The EU27 will only accept an extension by including conditions that are not palatable to a majority of MPs
  4. Too many MPs benefit from Theresa May owning a Bad Brexit . . .

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