Ding Ding! Round One

  1. We expect eliminations from the Conservative Leadership race tomorrow for Esther McVey, Andrea Leadsom, Mark Harper and Rory Stewart
  2. That will leave 37 votes to be reallocated in Round Two
  3. But with Boris expected to gain at least a third of MP's votes and Jeremy Hunt a quarter, they are still the frontrunners
  • Betting odds from Betfair confirms our MP-by-MP analysis:
    • Boris 61%
    • Hunt 14%
    • But these have been somewhat skewed because of what looks like a large bet on Leadsom . . .

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