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Regular articles that provide the latest accounts on recent political decisions and economic data, as well as identifying potential mid to longer-term risks for your investments.

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The Week That Will Be

How much is enough? Whatever does it actually take to mitigate, if not offset, the worst recession of our lifetimes? Despite the raft of data this week, the real question is which institutions have the political will to stay the course.

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The Week That Will Be (10th May 2020)

We are still in the hiatus where bad data is “the past” and huge monetary and fiscal interventions encourage optimism about “the future”. It will take until July/August/September for the future to become the present reality.

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The Recession That Can’t Be Priced – Part 2

Today’s undoubtedly dreadful US employment report will confirm two things: firstly that we are in the worst recession of our lifetimes, and secondly that its economic damage will leave a long scar from which it will be hard to recover.

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