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Regular articles that provide the latest accounts on recent political decisions and economic data, as well as identifying potential mid to longer-term risks for your investments.

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This is Not Normal

  1. Bond market volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, has hit the lowest levels since the index was created in 1988
  2. Foreign exchange volatility in the major pairs,

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Nothing. Has. Changed? Part IV

++ No Deal deadline moves out by two weeks, removing pressure to switch path from No Deal ++

  • The EU27 has offered the UK an unconditional extension to 12th April,

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The Real Suprise

The real surprise in last week’s vote:

  1. Conservative MPs have a more Brexiteer persuasion than expected
    • Half of the Party voted for the Brexiteer Malthouse Compromise,

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No Meaningful Vote?

Nerves are jangling. Panicky people do unpredictable things. We continue to believe the market is underprepared for the risks ahead in the next 10 days.

  1. Speaker John Bercow has declared that the government cannot re-submit to the House the same proposition or substantially the same proposition as that of last week that was rejected by 149 votes.

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