Premium Insights

Regular articles that provide the latest accounts on recent political decisions and economic data, as well as identifying potential mid to longer-term risks for your investments.

Buy membership to access full articles


In order of immediacy of threat:

  1. The Conservative Party No Confidence vote in Theresa May will not come yet. Her opponents on all sides would prefer her to weaken herself further first,

Read more

Deal? Update 2

Who resigned? 

In order of the time of their resignation:

  • They’re all on the more Brexiteer side of our spectrum but they’re certainly not all raving ideologues – for comparison JRM is +15,

Read more

Brexit Secretary Resigns. Again.

It was already bad enough that a centrist junior minister had resigned (see below). But to lose the Brexit secretary over the Brexit deal? After having lost the previous one over the previous Brexit deal?

Read more

Deal? Update 1

Will Cabinet approve the deal? 

  • No-one has resigned yet: suggests nobody wants to be a wrecker
  • But in a meeting where no-one really knows what the person sitting next to them will do,

Read more


At the time of writing, this is what we know: 
– The Withdrawal Agreement, 500 pages long, is ready and Cabinet ministers saw it Tuesday ahead of their meeting 2pm Wednesday
– EU27 Ambassadors meet Wednesday to give their approval
– If Cabinet approve,

Read more