1st July 2025

Welfare Reform Bill Rebellion – Update

  • There are 84 Labour MPs negative on the welfare reforms according to our latest analysis.
  • This would be enough for the government to lose its working majority of 165 if all of them were to vote against the bill.
  • Abstentions could therefore be crucial for today’s vote.
    • The whipping operation will be fierce.
  • The rebellion has been broad.
    • The reasoned amendment rebels in grey bars on our chart below show how far through the ranks they have stretched:
  • It is clear that the government is struggling to deliver even modest adjustments to meet its fiscal rules.