
1st July 2025
Welfare Reform Bill Rebellion – Update

- There are 84 Labour MPs negative on the welfare reforms according to our latest analysis.
- This would be enough for the government to lose its working majority of 165 if all of them were to vote against the bill.
- Abstentions could therefore be crucial for today’s vote.
- The whipping operation will be fierce.
- The rebellion has been broad.
- The reasoned amendment rebels in grey bars on our chart below show how far through the ranks they have stretched:

- It is clear that the government is struggling to deliver even modest adjustments to meet its fiscal rules.