If this were a normal two weeks, we would consider the slew of central bankers explaining their about-turn from contemplative doves to inflation expectation hawks (ECB Watchers Conference on Wednesday and BOE speakers Thursday); we would reflect on the volatile outcome of the German regional election in Rhineland Palatinate where the AfD doubled their vote …
Greenland, Venezuela, Iran, Cuba? One by one, the US is removing China’s pieces off the board. Or at least attempting to do so. It is no easy task, given disruption of China’s supply chains of commodities and influence runs through the worlds of narcoterrorism and unpleasant regimes. But it is one that a man who …
In a word: seismic. Not just for the government but for the British political landscape. We are headed inexorably to a Reform v Green fight in the eventual general election. It is the worst outcome for Labour, coming third in their 40th safest seat after throwing absolutely everything at the campaign, losing half of their …
A week today we should know the result of the pivotal Gorton and Denton by-election. Here is an article in City AM published on 6th February 2026 which explains the backdrop, reproduced with kind permission of the editor: Gorton and Denton by-election will be a snapshot of Britain in chaos The upcoming Gorton and Denton …
1. The UKThe UK Prime Minister wanted the next couple of weeks to be a non-event. A quick by-election in a Labour heartland, catching upstart parties on the hop, followed by a routine update of economic forecasts by the OBR. Nothing to see here, please move along. Instead he faces the first electoral test of …
1. The UK“He did well, the sense is he is no longer in danger“. So said a Conservative MP of Boris Johnson on 25 May 2022 after the full details of the Partygate reports were released. Six weeks later the prime minister had resigned. At that point, the Conservative Party were polling at 32%, ten …
The starting gun to replace Starmer has been fired after Andy Burnham submitted his application for a waiver to run in the Gorton and Denton by-election. The subsequent block by a 10 person NEC senior subcommittee will exact a cost on Starmer’s leadership. Everyone knows the entire debacle only ensued due to Starmer’s vulnerability. Ducking yet another blow by …
Here are our 5 Ps to help Prevent Poor Performance this year: The setting couldn’t have been better for the first reality television US President. There were already celebrations a-plenty planned with it being 250 years since the US gained independence. At the same time, the Men’s Football World Cup will be taking place in …
1. GeopoliticsVenezuela, Colombia, Greenland, Iran… take your pick (Trump certainly will). Dust off those international relations textbooks, basis points on inflation are no longer the driving force for the global economy. Instead it is all about weaponisation of resources and how economic systems operate as national security umbrellas. After all, last year’s Liberation Day tariffs …
