1. The UKThe UK Prime Minister wanted the next couple of weeks to be a non-event. A quick by-election in a Labour heartland, catching upstart parties on the hop, followed by a routine update of economic forecasts by the OBR. Nothing to see here, please move along. Instead he faces the first electoral test of …
1. The UK“He did well, the sense is he is no longer in danger“. So said a Conservative MP of Boris Johnson on 25 May 2022 after the full details of the Partygate reports were released. Six weeks later the prime minister had resigned. At that point, the Conservative Party were polling at 32%, ten …
The starting gun to replace Starmer has been fired after Andy Burnham submitted his application for a waiver to run in the Gorton and Denton by-election. The subsequent block by a 10 person NEC senior subcommittee will exact a cost on Starmer’s leadership. Everyone knows the entire debacle only ensued due to Starmer’s vulnerability. Ducking yet another blow by …
Here are our 5 Ps to help Prevent Poor Performance this year: The setting couldn’t have been better for the first reality television US President. There were already celebrations a-plenty planned with it being 250 years since the US gained independence. At the same time, the Men’s Football World Cup will be taking place in …
1. GeopoliticsVenezuela, Colombia, Greenland, Iran… take your pick (Trump certainly will). Dust off those international relations textbooks, basis points on inflation are no longer the driving force for the global economy. Instead it is all about weaponisation of resources and how economic systems operate as national security umbrellas. After all, last year’s Liberation Day tariffs …
++ The end of Keir Starmer’s time as Prime Minister is nigh. It only awaits the proverbial last straw. Changing after the May elections will be too late. The Labour Party’s cold war must be resolved sooner rather than later or no remnants of the party will be left to meet the challenge of Farage …
1. The UKParliament might be headed into recess but politics is not. Whether it’s Wes Streeting passionately defending “Labour values” in an interview to the New Statesman, or Angela Rayner reportedly backing rebels who want to prevent the reduction of jury trials, or, indeed, Andy Burnham apparently finding a “nailed on” seat to return as an MP, the runners and riders …
This is what we now know: What can we conclude from this? Politics, not economics, is driving policy. And with the prime minister and Chancellor intertwined into a weak, reactive position as they attempt to shore themselves up, they will continue to make decisions that roil the market rather than placate it. The day of …
Whilst the political and economic authorities of the UK wrangle with the ongoing fallout from the tortuous Budget process, there are a number of key events in the next two weeks that could add fuel to the fire. The most important dates will be two appearances in front of the Treasury Select Committee by the …
