The Two Weeks That Will Be (14th June 2026)
1. The UKThe Burnham Identity is about to give way to the Burnham Supremacy. In the early hours of Friday morning, power passes from Keir Starmer to Andy Burnham following the Makerfield by-election. The man who has lost four cabinet ministers and his chief of staff, had 100 of his own MPs and eleven trade unions call …
The Burnham Identity
A Blairite, Brownite and a Corbynite walk into a bar; “What you having Andy?”. So runs the old joke. But in the early hours of Friday 19th June, a man born in Aintree, Merseyside, who grew up in Warrington, has governed Manchester and supports Everton Football Club will have to pick a side. Or will he? The …
The Two Weeks That Will Be (31st May 2026)
1. The UKThe Burnham Supremacy approaches. Once Andy wins in Makerfield he will be carried aloft as The Great Farage Conqueror all the way into Number 10. His neighbour at No11 is likely to be Ed Miliband or Yvette Cooper, even as newspapers talk breathlessly of the role being awarded to former Transport secretary Louise Haigh and …
The End of Starmer – The Beginning of Burnham
With the trade unions, one quarter of Labour MPs, a majority of Labour members and half the great offices of state calling for the prime minister to set a path to his departure, we are now at the end of the Starmer regime. He might like to think he can still set a timetable but …
The Two Weeks That Will Be (17th May 2026)
1. NvidiaWith stock markets ever more disconnected from the oncoming stagflationary tsunami, the latest earnings from MAG7 and geopolitical bellwether Nvidia on Wednesday will bear even more weight than usual. Not only is it an indication of momentum for the apparently unstoppable AI train but it is also a litmus test for US/China relations, given Air Force …
The Two Weeks That Will Be (4th May 2026)
1. The UKAnd so, the local election date finally rolls around on Thursday. It need not have been quite so pivotal if discontented Labour MPs hadn’t kept talking about it as the date by which they would finally be forced to dispense of their beleaguered leader. This is usually qualified by “if results are worse than …
The Road to Resignation: A study of British Prime Ministers
Our intern Emily Major considered the question: When and why do British Prime Ministers step down? An analysis of the past 50 years. The Road to resignation Fifty years ago, Harold Wilson closed the door of Number 10 Downing Street behind him for the final time – an abrupt departure that would come to define …
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The End of Starmer – Privileges Committee Vote
